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Foreign Policy3 min read

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Trump Nuclear Deal Spurs Middle East Arms Race

Trump Nuclear Deal Spurs Middle East Arms Race

Former President Donald Trump's administration pursued a deal to provide nuclear technology to Saudi Arabia, a move that critics contend is now contributing to a burgeoning nuclear arms race in the Middle East. The agreement, finalized in 2017, involved the U.S. Export-Import Bank approving a $110 billion arms deal with Saudi Arabia, which included provisions for civilian nuclear energy cooperation.

Concerns about the potential for weaponization have been amplified by subsequent developments. Saudi Arabia has expressed intentions to develop its own nuclear weapons program if Iran does the same, a statement made by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in 2018. This stance, coupled with the transfer of sensitive nuclear technology, has raised alarms among international observers and non-proliferation advocates, who fear it could destabilize the region further.

The Trump administration's approach to nuclear non-proliferation in the Middle East has been characterized by a willingness to engage with regional powers, including Saudi Arabia, despite existing geopolitical tensions and human rights concerns. Critics argue that prioritizing economic and strategic partnerships over strict adherence to non-proliferation norms has created a dangerous precedent. The ongoing developments suggest that the initial deal may have inadvertently laid the groundwork for increased nuclear ambitions among Middle Eastern nations.

This situation highlights the complex interplay between energy needs, national security, and international diplomacy. The potential for a multi-state nuclear arms race in the Middle East, spurred by such agreements, poses a significant threat to global security and could lead to a new era of geopolitical instability. The long-term consequences of these decisions are still unfolding, but the immediate outlook suggests a heightened risk of nuclear proliferation.

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