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The Guardian World••2 min read

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Tories Overstate Net Zero Cost by £500bn in Spreadsheet Error

Tories Overstate Net Zero Cost by £500bn in Spreadsheet Error

The Conservative party's flagship policy document, "The Right Way," has overestimated the cost of achieving net zero emissions by nearly £500 billion, according to an exclusive report. This significant discrepancy appears to stem from an apparent spreadsheet error where figures were double-counted. The document, a 100-page publication produced for the Conservative conference held in Birmingham, features a chapter dedicated to net zero policies. Within this chapter, a figure of £957 billion is cited as the estimated cost, which is approximately double the total figure provided by the government's climate advisers.

The error was identified by comparing the figures in "The Right Way" with data from the Climate Change Committee (CCC), the UK's independent statutory body that advises the government on climate change mitigation and adaptation. The CCC's latest data, as of the report's publication, indicates a lower total cost for achieving net zero. The precise nature of the spreadsheet error is not fully detailed, but the implication is that a calculation or data entry mistake led to the inflated £957 billion estimate. This policy document was intended to outline the Conservative party's approach to environmental targets and economic policy, with Secretary of State for Business and Trade, Kemi Badenoch, repeatedly using the phrase "The Right Way" in her conference speech to frame the party's agenda.

The overestimation of nearly £500 billion raises questions about the accuracy of the costings presented in the policy document and the diligence applied in its preparation. "The Right Way" document is a key piece of material intended to communicate the Conservative party's policy platform to the public and its members. The inclusion of such a substantial error in a flagship document could undermine confidence in the party's grasp of the financial implications of its environmental commitments. The Climate Change Committee, established under the Climate Change Act 2008, plays a crucial role in providing evidence-based advice to the UK government on its path to net zero emissions by 2050. Its assessments are considered authoritative in the field of climate policy.

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