Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 delivery consensus: 406,000 vehicles expected

Tesla's consensus delivery forecast for Q2 2026 stands at 406,024 vehicles, according to company-compiled data. This projection represents a 5.7% increase compared to the 384,122 vehicles delivered in Q2 2025. This anticipated growth marks a potential recovery for Tesla, which has experienced two consecutive years of declining sales. The company's previous performance saw a 10% drop in deliveries in 2025 and a 7% decrease in 2024. Analysts will be closely watching Tesla's production and delivery numbers for the second quarter of 2026 to gauge the effectiveness of its strategies aimed at reversing the sales downturn.