Israel's Exclusion From Saudi-Iranian Order A Mistake

The emergence of a new regional order involving Saudi Arabia and Iran presents a critical juncture for Israel, with its potential exclusion being framed as a significant strategic misstep. This evolving geopolitical landscape, driven by shifting alliances and a desire for regional stability, could inadvertently isolate Israel and hinder broader economic and security cooperation.

The Abraham Accords, which normalized relations between Israel and several Arab nations, represented a paradigm shift in Middle Eastern diplomacy. However, the current trajectory suggests a potential recalibration of these relationships, possibly prioritizing a broader, albeit more complex, regional consensus that might not inherently include Israel. This shift could be influenced by a desire among key players to manage relations with both Iran and the West, creating a delicate balancing act.

Such an exclusion would not only be a diplomatic setback for Israel but could also undermine the economic and security benefits derived from the Abraham Accords. The normalization of relations had opened avenues for trade, technology sharing, and joint security initiatives, contributing to a more integrated and prosperous region. A fractured regional order, where Israel is sidelined, risks reversing these gains and fostering renewed instability.

Furthermore, the article argues that a more inclusive regional framework, one that finds a way to incorporate Israel, would be more conducive to long-term peace and prosperity. It suggests that sidelining a key regional actor like Israel could create vacuums and foster resentments, ultimately proving counterproductive to the stated goals of stability and cooperation that appear to be driving the new Saudi-Iranian dialogue. The author posits that a strategic error is being made by not considering Israel's inclusion in this emerging order.