Iran Controls Gaza Conflict, Not Trump

The ongoing conflict in Gaza is largely dictated by Iran and its network of proxy forces, rather than being under the direct control of former US President Donald Trump or his administration's policies. This assertion challenges the perception that US influence alone shapes the dynamics of the region. Instead, the strategy and execution of military actions appear to be orchestrated by Tehran, utilizing groups like Hezbollah and Hamas as instruments of its regional agenda.

The cease-fire proposals and their outcomes are presented not as genuine peace efforts but as tactical maneuvers within a broader Iranian strategy. The analysis suggests that any perceived pauses or escalations in hostilities are more reflective of Iran's objectives and its proxies' capabilities than of external diplomatic pressure. This perspective implies that a comprehensive understanding of the conflict requires acknowledging the central role of Iran's strategic planning and its ability to mobilize and direct non-state actors.

This interpretation posits that the United States, under various administrations including Trump's, has overestimated its leverage and underestimated the autonomous agency of Iran and its allies. The narrative presented is one where Iran acts as the primary architect of regional instability and conflict, with its proxies serving as the operational arm. The effectiveness of these proxies in achieving Iran's strategic goals, such as challenging Israeli security and expanding Iranian influence, is highlighted as a key factor in the prolonged nature of the conflict.