Analysts tip pressure for Bitcoin, gold as US inflation tops 4%

Bitcoin and gold prices are expected to face downward pressure as US inflation data for April 2024 exceeded 4%, according to analysts. 10x Research's Markus Thielen stated that the current macroeconomic environment is a "headwind" for Bitcoin, suggesting that persistent inflation could lead the US Federal Reserve to maintain higher interest rates for longer. This scenario typically dampens investor appetite for riskier assets like Bitcoin and also impacts gold, which is often seen as an inflation hedge. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.3% in April, bringing the year-over-year inflation rate to 3.4%. This figure was slightly higher than the 3.3% anticipated by economists surveyed by Reuters. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also increased by 0.3% month-over-month, resulting in an annual increase of 3.6%, a slight uptick from the previous month's 3.7%. The persistence of inflation above the Federal Reserve's 2% target complicates the central bank's monetary policy decisions. Analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve may delay any potential interest rate cuts, which could further strengthen the US dollar. A stronger dollar generally makes dollar-denominated assets, including Bitcoin and gold, more expensive for holders of other currencies, potentially reducing demand. In response to the inflation data, Bitcoin saw a slight dip, trading around $63,000, while gold futures experienced a modest rise, indicating a mixed market reaction. However, the overarching sentiment among analysts points towards continued volatility and potential price declines for both assets if inflation remains elevated and interest rates stay high throughout the summer and into the fall of 2024.
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