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64 Major US Housing Markets See Home Prices Fall Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

64 Major US Housing Markets See Home Prices Fall Amid Shifting Market Dynamics

Nationally aggregated U.S. home prices demonstrated a modest increase of 1.1% year-over-year between July 2025 and July 2026, according to an in-depth analysis of the Zillow Home Value Index. This growth rate represents an acceleration compared to the previous year, when the national year-over-year home price growth stood at a more subdued 0.2% as of July 2025. The current pace also shows a slight uptick from the recent low point of -0.01% recorded in August 2025, indicating a gradual recovery in overall national home values.

However, this national aggregate figure masks considerable regional variations, with a substantial number of individual housing markets experiencing year-over-year price declines. Between July 2025 and July 2026, a total of 64 of the nation's 300 largest housing markets, accounting for 21% of these key markets, saw their home prices fall compared to the previous year. While this represents a significant decrease from the 105 markets (35%) that experienced falling prices in the preceding twelve-month period, from July 2024 to July 2025, it still signifies a considerable portion of the market under pressure.

The trend of increasing market declines began to take hold more broadly in the July 2022 to July 2023 period, when a peak of 99 of the 300 largest markets, or 33% of them, recorded year-over-year price drops. This number saw a notable reduction to 37 markets (12%) in the July 2023 to July 2024 window, suggesting an initial moderation of the downturn.

Prior to this recent period of widespread declines, the number of housing markets experiencing falling year-over-year prices was considerably lower, reflecting a more stable or appreciating market environment. From July 2017 to July 2018, only 4 markets (1% of the largest 300) saw prices fall. This figure saw an increase to 13 markets (4%) in the July 2018 to July 2019 period. The market then experienced a significant contraction in declining prices, with just 1 market (<1%) showing a year-over-year drop from July 2019 to July 2020. The subsequent period from July 2020 to July 2021 saw a slight uptick with 4 markets (1%) experiencing declining prices, and from July 2021 to July 2022, only 2 markets (<1%) registered price drops, indicating a period of sustained national price appreciation.

The analysis suggests that the period encompassing much of 2024 and the first half of 2025 was characterized by a notable increase in the number of housing markets slipping into year-over-year price declines. This trend is attributed to shifts in the supply-demand equilibrium, a fundamental economic principle that dictates price movements based on the balance between available housing inventory and buyer interest. While the most recent data indicates a moderation in the number of declining markets, the figure of 64 markets still represents a significant segment of the U.S. housing landscape experiencing price depreciation.

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